BizarroMath™ Sports Analysis System |
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Last Updated: 00:00 on Tuesday, January 31, 2023
Arkansas State 2022 Season Summary
National Average Data
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Blended (Δ)
|
| Points Per Game (PPG) |
27.47 |
27.02 |
27.02 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Game (YPG) |
391.09 |
374.09 |
374.09 (+0.00) |
| Yards Per Play (YPP) |
5.70 |
5.65 |
5.65 (+0.00) |
Arkansas State 2022 - Unit Statistics
Offense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Scored per Game (PPG): |
23.91 |
21.25 (-2.66) |
22.00 |
20.72 (-1.28) |
20.72 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Game (YPG): |
383.55 |
360.57 (-22.97) |
294.36 |
278.97 (-15.39) |
278.97 (+0.00) |
| Yards Gained per Play (YPP): |
5.16 |
4.92 (-0.24) |
4.70 |
4.45 (-0.26) |
4.45 (+0.00) |
Defense
| Category
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Raw
| 2022 Opp Adj'd (Δ)
| 2022 Blended (Δ)
|
|---|
| Points Yielded per Game (PPG): |
40.18 |
45.88 (+5.70) |
34.00 |
37.61 (+3.61) |
37.61 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Game (YPG): |
521.18 |
572.38 (+51.20) |
431.09 |
452.42 (+21.33) |
452.42 (+0.00) |
| Yards Yielded per Play (YPP): |
7.42 |
8.14 (+0.72) |
6.14 |
6.50 (+0.36) |
6.50 (+0.00) |
Intangibles
| Category
| Measure(s)
|
| Home Field Advantage
| +3.3 |
Schedule Analysis
| Date
| Opponent
| BizMa Points For
| BizMa Points Against
| BizMa Spread
| BizMa O/U
| BizMa Win %
| Real Outcome
| Team Record
|
| 2022-09-03 |
Grambling |
Non-FBS Opponent |
W 58-3 |
1-0 |
| 2022-09-10 |
@Ohio State |
11.90 |
67.56 |
-55.67 |
79.46 |
0.10% |
L 12-45 |
1-1 |
| 2022-09-17 |
@Memphis |
20.58 |
46.56 |
-25.99 |
67.14 |
8.32% |
L 32-44 |
1-2 |
| 2022-09-24 |
@Old Dominion |
22.36 |
27.10 |
-4.74 |
49.47 |
42.40% |
L 26-29 |
1-3 |
| 2022-10-01 |
Louisiana Monroe |
34.48 |
31.71 |
+2.77 |
66.19 |
54.45% |
W 45-28 |
2-3 |
| DATA ERROR: blank team data for opponent defensive ypp |
| 2022-10-15 |
@Southern Mississippi |
21.52 |
26.49 |
-4.97 |
48.01 |
42.02% |
L 19-20 |
2-4 |
| 2022-10-22 |
@Louisiana |
21.83 |
36.96 |
-15.13 |
58.79 |
25.74% |
L 18-38 |
2-5 |
| 2022-10-29 |
South Alabama |
21.54 |
35.19 |
-13.64 |
56.73 |
28.12% |
L 3-31 |
2-6 |
| 2022-11-12 |
UMass |
35.05 |
13.65 |
+21.40 |
48.70 |
84.33% |
W 35-33 |
3-6 |
| 2022-11-19 |
@Texas State |
25.88 |
25.87 |
+0.02 |
51.75 |
50.03% |
L 13-16 |
3-7 |
| 2022-11-26 |
Troy |
17.58 |
32.77 |
-15.19 |
50.35 |
25.63% |
L 19-48 |
3-8 |
Season Analysis
| Record
| Probability
| Ceiling
| Floor
|
| 3-9 |
100.00% |
0.00% |
100.00% |
Expected Wins Analysis
| Record
| Probability
|
| 1-11 |
0.43% |
| 2-10 |
4.49% |
| 3-9 |
15.57% |
| 4-8 |
27.28% |
| 5-7 |
27.68% |
| 6-6 |
16.97% |
| 7-5 |
6.14% |
| 8-4 |
1.27% |
| 9-3 |
0.14% |
| 10-2 |
0.01% |